Tuesday, November 17, 2009

2010-11 Tax Levy Picture If We Don't Stop the Madness

Rough Projections for 2011-12 (assuming NO recurring budget cuts)


Please...take these projections with a grain of salt. The assumptions used are that the state economy and equalized aid picture doesn't change very much (which seems valid). It assumes a 3% increase in property value...which we think is pretty Pollyanna. Lastly, it assumes the district continues their spend-happy ways and increases its expenditures by 6%.


That being said...at least we can offer them. The school district holds this information very close to the vest.

  • Budgeted Expenditures (up 6%) : $ 72.6M
  • Projected state aid (44% of expenditures): $ 32.0M
  • That leaves $40.6M of expenditures paid through general fund tax levy
  • Then we have to add another $9.5M for debt service levy
  • That makes for a total tax levy projection of: $ 50.1M
  • Which translates to an increase of 13.2% over what was levied this year.
  • That 13.2% is the "bounceback" being discussed.
    ...and it could be even higher due to costs associated with opening the new high school.
  • Assume the equalized value (of all property) rises 3% to $ 4,020,000,000 (which is a pretty optimistic projection)
  • Mill rate is calculated as TAX LEVY divided by the EQUALIZED VALUE
  • That translates to a mill rate of $12.47

...and it could be mnuch higher than that...if the equalized property value stays flat, the mill rate climbs to $12.86 per $1,000.